Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.089982 0.100194 0.110701 0.122292 0.134694 0.147540 0.161823
2025-01-05 0.073545 0.088850 0.105448 0.124660 0.146158 0.169352 0.196144
2025-01-12 0.061504 0.080014 0.101046 0.126402 0.155835 0.188631 0.227637
2025-01-19 0.051860 0.072300 0.096535 0.126822 0.163094 0.204604 0.255154
2025-01-26 0.048676 0.071669 0.099846 0.136021 0.180347 0.232051 0.296064
2025-02-02 0.042972 0.067067 0.097634 0.137972 0.188539 0.248638 0.324241
2025-02-09 0.038688 0.063746 0.096556 0.140930 0.197674 0.266202 0.353579
2025-02-16 0.033853 0.059092 0.093249 0.140612 0.202395 0.278194 0.376114
2025-02-23 0.032393 0.059003 0.095891 0.147959 0.216826 0.302241 0.413569
2025-03-02 0.030622 0.058233 0.097439 0.153751 0.229240 0.323844 0.448199
2025-03-09 0.026527 0.053501 0.093055 0.151183 0.230471 0.331165 0.464949
2025-03-16 0.022644 0.048653 0.088112 0.147483 0.229903 0.335971 0.478393
2025-03-23 0.021165 0.047728 0.089072 0.152365 0.241354 0.356966 0.513369
2025-03-30 0.019451 0.046251 0.089127 0.155980 0.251229 0.376190 0.546543
2025-04-06 0.017617 0.044348 0.088377 0.158346 0.259391 0.393273 0.577199
2025-04-13 0.015621 0.041889 0.086547 0.158963 0.265039 0.407035 0.603660
2025-04-20 0.015784 0.043549 0.091424 0.169746 0.285179 0.440384 0.656029
2025-04-27 0.014360 0.041919 0.090762 0.172037 0.293235 0.457554 0.687320
2025-05-04 0.013273 0.040825 0.090894 0.175488 0.302946 0.477022 0.721787
2025-05-11 0.011687 0.038456 0.088668 0.175121 0.307044 0.488825 0.746142
2025-05-18 0.011570 0.039288 0.092045 0.183658 0.324253 0.518749 0.794884
2025-05-25 0.011196 0.039486 0.094273 0.190376 0.338843 0.545177 0.839128
2025-06-01 0.009575 0.036531 0.090610 0.187400 0.338908 0.551379 0.856118